Who Pays the Tariff – How Voter Ignorance Impacts Public Policy

Who pays the tariff? To anyone who has been following the news in the past day, this question has suddenly taken on outsized importance. With the US Government firing the opening salvos in a global trade war, we have seen in just one day: The US stock market fall 5% International stock markets fall 2% … Continue reading Who Pays the Tariff – How Voter Ignorance Impacts Public Policy

Correlation between Stock-Market-Returns, GDP Growth and PE Ratios

In an earlier article, we discussed the primary factors that drive long-term stock market returns. Namely: Earnings yield Real GDP growth Inflation We also discussed ignoring fluctuations in the PE Ratio, because: PE ratios tend to be cyclic, and do not increase or decrease in perpetuity Over the long term, fluctuations in the PE ratio … Continue reading Correlation between Stock-Market-Returns, GDP Growth and PE Ratios